Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.019363 0.022534 0.026033 0.030177 0.034948 0.040264 0.046634
2025-11-30 0.015078 0.019301 0.024391 0.030964 0.039212 0.049202 0.062205
2025-12-07 0.011771 0.016371 0.022357 0.030684 0.041929 0.056547 0.076950
2025-12-14 0.009167 0.013729 0.020083 0.029521 0.043118 0.061920 0.089796
2025-12-21 0.007497 0.011997 0.018657 0.029143 0.045134 0.068475 0.104958
2025-12-28 0.006686 0.011348 0.018627 0.030693 0.050036 0.079631 0.128063
2026-01-04 0.005887 0.010553 0.018208 0.031513 0.053841 0.089506 0.150357
2026-01-11 0.004937 0.009326 0.016877 0.030605 0.054666 0.094694 0.165725
2026-01-18 0.004263 0.008456 0.015995 0.030287 0.056359 0.101386 0.184217
2026-01-25 0.003637 0.007562 0.014924 0.029448 0.056975 0.106230 0.199978
2026-02-01 0.003150 0.006848 0.014068 0.028861 0.057921 0.111681 0.217319
2026-02-08 0.002782 0.006310 0.013464 0.028654 0.059520 0.118429 0.237688
2026-02-15 0.002399 0.005683 0.012609 0.027857 0.059925 0.123097 0.254905
2026-02-22 0.002249 0.005544 0.012739 0.029109 0.064618 0.136586 0.290854
2026-03-01 0.002015 0.005170 0.012311 0.029107 0.066697 0.145089 0.317747
2026-03-08 0.001742 0.004657 0.011496 0.028129 0.066542 0.148975 0.335526
2026-03-15 0.001552 0.004311 0.011012 0.027831 0.067839 0.156037 0.360766
2026-03-22 0.001490 0.004285 0.011283 0.029348 0.073456 0.173028 0.409390
2026-03-29 0.001393 0.004149 0.011262 0.030151 0.077494 0.186934 0.452587
2026-04-05 0.001225 0.003785 0.010612 0.029289 0.077413 0.191474 0.474913
2026-04-12 0.001103 0.003529 0.010204 0.028988 0.078672 0.199242 0.505557
2026-04-19 0.000974 0.003232 0.009637 0.028186 0.078554 0.203708 0.528783
2026-04-26 0.000870 0.002988 0.009183 0.027623 0.078982 0.209534 0.555910